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🏠 Canadian Mortgage Risk Snapshot - Q3 '22
Canadian Real Estate Tanks Fast This Year. How much risk is in the overall mortgage portfolio? 👇 Here is a Rough view of the Big 5...
Frank Tian
Aug 30, 20221 min read
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🇨🇦 Canada Macro Update
July inflation is out … +7.6% Y/Y. Finally, it is moving in the right direction, but still outpacing wages. 🟨 July inflation down to...
Frank Tian
Aug 18, 20221 min read
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Aging Effect on Inflation
Recession with Full Employment? The macro trend underneath … US Q2 GDP Y/Y growth is -0.9%, according to BEA’s advance estimate today....
Frank Tian
Aug 6, 20222 min read
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🇺🇸 Macro: Another Large Rate Hike
The Fed raised the interest rate by 75 bps today. This brings the cumulative rate increase this year to 225 bps. With full employment,...
Frank Tian
Aug 4, 20221 min read
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Recession fear - Money in the Bank
Interesting time. The fear of recession has never been greater, while the consumer loss rate is historically low. What is the status of...
Frank Tian
Jul 11, 20221 min read
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Inverse Wealth Effect
Even for those without any income loss, Market slides will lead to less consumer spending. This CBC piece explains the inverse "wealth...
Frank Tian
Jun 17, 20221 min read
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Morgan Stanley - Consumer Deposit
As the stimulus benefit gradually recedes, consumer delinquency will continue to normalize/increase in 2022 - first with the subprime...
Frank Tian
Jun 15, 20221 min read
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Recession is Coming?
We barely come out of the pandemic, now facing the risk of recession? The search volume of the word “recession” has sharply shot up. 👇...
Frank Tian
Jun 6, 20221 min read
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Subprime Loans Again?
A WSJ report highlights the rising delinquencies of subprime loans. Some are wondering - have we learned anything from 2008? Actually,...
Frank Tian
Jun 4, 20221 min read
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Housing Market Update - April
🏠 Market Update Canadian housing is such a hot topic now, Even Simu Liu had to take a jab at it in his Juno Award speech. 🇨🇦 After a...
Frank Tian
Jun 1, 20221 min read
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Cash In Wallet
💵 How much cash do you have in your wallet? And how much is outside your wallet? Here is the latest report from the Fed: 👉 Cash Use...
Frank Tian
May 28, 20221 min read
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Middle Class is Mad
The economic data is great, But the middle class is mad. Why? This Time article details the struggle of today’s middle class. And the...
Frank Tian
May 16, 20221 min read
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Housing Market Update - March
🏠 As the interest rate starts to rise Housing and mortgage markets begin to cool down US: March existing home sales volume Y/Y -4.5%...
Frank Tian
May 4, 20221 min read
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US Consumer Finance Update
The Fed reported a $42 billion growth in consumer borrowing in Feb 2022. Consumers seem to pay down balances more slowly. This could be...
Frank Tian
Apr 30, 20221 min read
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CBC Report on US $
This CBC report explains how US $ became the dominant world money. And its prospect gave the latest financial war vs. Russia. 👇 There is...
Frank Tian
Apr 12, 20221 min read
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A Decade of Wealth Buiding in 🇺🇸🏠
NAR’s latest study on housing wealth effect in 2010-2020: Housing prices increased on average 8.3% in the last 10 years, Almost doubles...
Frank Tian
Apr 10, 20221 min read
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US 🏡 Sales
🏡 Sales momentum began to slow US: Jan sales volume of existing home -2.3% Y/Y. Canada: Jan sales volume -10.7% Y/Y. Some buyers have...
Frank Tian
Apr 4, 20221 min read
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🇨🇦 PBO's House Price Assessment
🇨🇦 PBO's House Price Assessment based on Borrowing Capacity Source: House Price Assessment: A Borrowing Capacity Perspective
Frank Tian
Apr 2, 20221 min read
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Fed Exuberance Index for Canada Turned
🏡 The Fed Exuberance Index for Canada comes down. This real estate index measures how far the price growth is from fundamentals. A...
Frank Tian
Mar 16, 20221 min read
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Ten Signs Pandemic Ending
🔟 Ten signs That we are at the endgame of the pandemic. Even though not all of them are welcomed. Gas prices spiked. Traffic on highways...
Frank Tian
Feb 20, 20221 min read
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