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Frank Tian
May 5, 20231 min read
💸Check-kiting - Live and Large
In the 2002 movie “Catch Me If You Can”, Leonardo DiCaprio played a top con man who defrauded many banks with fake checks - that was in...
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Frank Tian
Apr 3, 20231 min read
Risk Manager - A Thankless Job
Had SVB not failed, nobody would notice the absence of their top risk manager in 2022. This perfectly illustrates the role of risk and...
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Frank Tian
Mar 30, 20231 min read
The Test of 3 Recessions
At the height of the 2008 Great Financial Crisis, I learned the following from a Chief Risk Officer. The recession is a good time to test...
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Frank Tian
Mar 18, 20231 min read
Pandemic Lesson
Bank Failure, The Pandemic, and One Personal Lesson March is never a dull month. Three US banks collapsed in one week. Who would have...
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Frank Tian
Mar 16, 20231 min read
SVB Life Lesson
I was surprised to realize the SVB event had reached beyond the banking/tech world, Arriving at my family dinner table last night. My...
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Frank Tian
Feb 8, 20231 min read
💳 What happened after I got a CLD …
Last year, one of my credit cards received a 60% credit line decrease (CLD). It is understandable as issuers reduce exposure on long-term...
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Frank Tian
Jan 11, 20231 min read
💰 Review Your Product Limit Cap
The latest US inflation number is out. It is in the right downward direction but still high. Latest 12-month inflation readings: 🇺🇸 US...
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Frank Tian
Jan 7, 20231 min read
📂 “Where can I find that document?”
Did you ask this question in the past few weeks, hoping that your colleague was still in the office? Or did you get asked about this...
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Frank Tian
Dec 4, 20221 min read
🏠 Canadian Mortgage Risk Snapshot - Q4 '22
Big 5 banks’ Q4 earnings reports are out. Here is an update of the mortgage book. 👇 It is a very Rough estimate, as each bank reports...
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Frank Tian
Nov 25, 20221 min read
Canadians Reaching Tigger Rate
Canadians heard the mortgage trigger rate a lot. How many mortgages have reached that? The answer from the Bank of Canada 👇 Out of a...
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Frank Tian
Nov 2, 20221 min read
💳 I Got a Credit Line Decrease (CLD)
This hasn’t happened in years. I actually got multiple line increases in the last 3 years. Is it a sign of a change in overall consumer...
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Frank Tian
Sep 27, 20221 min read
Unemployment Rate vs. Consumer Credit Risk
🇺🇸 Fed’s Unemployment Rate Forecast And its implication for consumer credit risk. 👇 When Fed hiked the rate by another 75 bps on 9/21,...
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Frank Tian
Jul 13, 20221 min read
Rogers Outage
One major Canadian telecommunication company has had a massive outage across the country since this morning. It impacts a wide range of...
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Frank Tian
Jul 9, 20222 min read
Recession Risk Management
The fear of recession quickly spreads in the last 3 months. Meanwhile, the consumer credit loss rate is still historically low. How to...
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Frank Tian
Jun 25, 20222 min read
Inflation Management and Risk Management
US inflation reached a new 40-year high at 8.6% in May. How could the policymaker manage inflation differently? Why not look at the risk...
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Frank Tian
Jun 11, 20221 min read
CFPB on Black-Box Models
Your model is complicated, But you still need to explain it. That is the latest reminder from CFPB. ECOA mandates lenders to explain...
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Frank Tian
Jun 9, 20221 min read
Survive 3 Recessions
Given the rapidly shifting market lately, I couldn’t help thinking about the words I heard back in 2008, From the CRO of a large US...
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