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💸Check-kiting - Live and Large
In the 2002 movie “Catch Me If You Can”, Leonardo DiCaprio played a top con man who defrauded many banks with fake checks - that was in...
Frank Tian
May 5, 20231 min read
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Risk Manager - A Thankless Job
Had SVB not failed, nobody would notice the absence of their top risk manager in 2022. This perfectly illustrates the role of risk and...
Frank Tian
Apr 3, 20231 min read
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The Test of 3 Recessions
At the height of the 2008 Great Financial Crisis, I learned the following from a Chief Risk Officer. The recession is a good time to test...
Frank Tian
Mar 30, 20231 min read
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Pandemic Lesson
Bank Failure, The Pandemic, and One Personal Lesson March is never a dull month. Three US banks collapsed in one week. Who would have...
Frank Tian
Mar 18, 20231 min read
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SVB Life Lesson
I was surprised to realize the SVB event had reached beyond the banking/tech world, Arriving at my family dinner table last night. My...
Frank Tian
Mar 16, 20231 min read
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💳 What happened after I got a CLD …
Last year, one of my credit cards received a 60% credit line decrease (CLD). It is understandable as issuers reduce exposure on long-term...
Frank Tian
Feb 8, 20231 min read
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💰 Review Your Product Limit Cap
The latest US inflation number is out. It is in the right downward direction but still high. Latest 12-month inflation readings: 🇺🇸 US...
Frank Tian
Jan 11, 20231 min read
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📂 “Where can I find that document?”
Did you ask this question in the past few weeks, hoping that your colleague was still in the office? Or did you get asked about this...
Frank Tian
Jan 7, 20231 min read
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🏠 Canadian Mortgage Risk Snapshot - Q4 '22
Big 5 banks’ Q4 earnings reports are out. Here is an update of the mortgage book. 👇 It is a very Rough estimate, as each bank reports...
Frank Tian
Dec 4, 20221 min read
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Canadians Reaching Tigger Rate
Canadians heard the mortgage trigger rate a lot. How many mortgages have reached that? The answer from the Bank of Canada 👇 Out of a...
Frank Tian
Nov 25, 20221 min read
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💳 I Got a Credit Line Decrease (CLD)
This hasn’t happened in years. I actually got multiple line increases in the last 3 years. Is it a sign of a change in overall consumer...
Frank Tian
Nov 2, 20221 min read
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Unemployment Rate vs. Consumer Credit Risk
🇺🇸 Fed’s Unemployment Rate Forecast And its implication for consumer credit risk. 👇 When Fed hiked the rate by another 75 bps on 9/21,...
Frank Tian
Sep 27, 20221 min read
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Rogers Outage
One major Canadian telecommunication company has had a massive outage across the country since this morning. It impacts a wide range of...
Frank Tian
Jul 13, 20221 min read
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Recession Risk Management
The fear of recession quickly spreads in the last 3 months. Meanwhile, the consumer credit loss rate is still historically low. How to...
Frank Tian
Jul 9, 20222 min read
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Inflation Management and Risk Management
US inflation reached a new 40-year high at 8.6% in May. How could the policymaker manage inflation differently? Why not look at the risk...
Frank Tian
Jun 25, 20222 min read
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CFPB on Black-Box Models
Your model is complicated, But you still need to explain it. That is the latest reminder from CFPB. ECOA mandates lenders to explain...
Frank Tian
Jun 11, 20221 min read
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Survive 3 Recessions
Given the rapidly shifting market lately, I couldn’t help thinking about the words I heard back in 2008, From the CRO of a large US...
Frank Tian
Jun 9, 20221 min read
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